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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet DonationsReceiver took Yes (sell) for $20.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 15:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- DonationsReceiver
- Tx
- 0x20a21fa2…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.2k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $599.4k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 7.4× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |