← Live flags
Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$14.3k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
TBill1 sold No at 97¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 3% chance. 14,783 shares, Oct 29, 13:55 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet TBill1 sold No for $14.3k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied 3% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $14.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.2 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · now 97.2¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysThe First 100 Days: How an Incoming California Governor Might Use Executive Power to Address the Housing CrisisTerner Center · Google News · 4h agoCalifornia governor race polls: who will win the 2026 election?The Times · Google News · 6h agoCalifornia gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton tells voters 'it's OK to vote Republican'; touts homelessness plan - ABC7 Los AngelesGoogle News · Google News · 15h agoAnthropic tells California governor courts should be able to block risky AI modelsReuters · Google News · 1d ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $29.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $24.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $16.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |