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Spread: Bears (-3.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $50.9k on Jets, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bears (-3.5)missed$50.9k
BUY Jets @ 51¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet liquiditycrisis took Jets (buy) for $50.9k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.9%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $50.9k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 09:55 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- liquiditycrisis
- Tx
- 0x0c51e223…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-4.7 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsJets price · entry 51¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $18.2k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | MED BUY Jets @ 50¢ | $130.5k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Bears @ 50¢ | $39.1k | called |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $31.9k | missed |