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Spread: Bears (-3.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $39.1k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bears (-3.5)called$39.1k
BUY Bears @ 50¢ · 78,282 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xbc43…96d3 took Bears (buy) for $39.1k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $39.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $39.1k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 09:08 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xbc43…96d3
- Tx
- 0xd9c25de6…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+27.0 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsBears price · entry 50¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $18.2k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $50.9k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | MED BUY Jets @ 50¢ | $130.5k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $31.9k | missed |