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What this means. A wallet put $150.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$150.1k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 179,043 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Countryside took No (sell) for $150.1k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $150.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 16.2%
- As American odds
- +519 no vig
- Size
- $150.1k
- Placed
- Apr 13, 08:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Countryside
- Tx
- 0x0bef5ac0…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-2.0 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 63.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |