Monday, August 3, 2026

49 whale trades totalling $1.26M from 41 wallets. Biggest: $157.8k buy No on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?” at 98.6¢. 7 of 11 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 7.2 expected (-2.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$157.8k 6.7× usual	99%	Hashbrown	81d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL Rune Eaters @ 99.9¢	$97.9k	0%	Jessy5711	81d ago	excluded
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	LOW SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	0%	CoinTrick	81d ago	excluded
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	LOW SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢	$50.2k 2.0× usual	0%	467j6yj	81d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$49.5k	99%	yingxer	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢	$46.1k	97%	Trump2028	81d ago	excluded
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Alexandra Eala @ 97.9¢	$39.7k	98%	swisstony PROVEN	81d ago	excluded
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	LOW BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 98.9¢	$36.0k	99%	467j6yj	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$34.6k 2.0× usual	0%	thoodr	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢	$34.0k	98%	Trump2028	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$33.5k	99%	thoodr	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢	$30.2k	98%	0x74b4…6bea	81d ago	excluded
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$29.5k	99%	yougotme	81d ago	excluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$28.0k	100%	AgricultureSecretary	81d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$25.2k	98%	tetrose	81d ago	excluded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$157.8k

LOW Hashbrown · 81d ago

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

SELL Rune Eaters @ 99.9¢$97.9k

LOW Jessy5711 · 81d ago

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierexcluded

SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW CoinTrick · 81d ago

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierexcluded

SELL Nongshim Red Force @ 99.9¢$50.2k

LOW 467j6yj · 81d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$49.5k

LOW yingxer · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 97.4¢$46.1k

LOW Trump2028 · 81d ago

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealaexcluded

BUY Alexandra Eala @ 97.9¢$39.7k

LOW PROVEN swisstony · 81d ago

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierexcluded

BUY Nongshim Red Force @ 98.9¢$36.0k

LOW 467j6yj · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$34.6k

LOW thoodr · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 98.3¢$34.0k

LOW Trump2028 · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$33.5k

LOW thoodr · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 97.7¢$30.2k

LOW 0x74b4…6bea · 81d ago

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$29.5k

LOW yougotme · 81d ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$28.0k

LOW AgricultureSecretary · 81d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 98.1¢$25.2k

LOW tetrose · 81d ago

Most traded markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

$326.9k · 6 flags

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

$269.9k · 12 flags

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

$184.7k · 7 flags

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala

$109.3k · 5 flags

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

$82.5k · 5 flags

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

$50.3k · 2 flags