Tuesday, December 2, 2025

52 whale trades totalling $3.81M from 28 wallets. Biggest: $830.7k buy No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?” at 99.4¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.4¢	$830.7k 2.2× usual	99%	0x6403…a454	326d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.2¢	$715.7k	99%	0x6403…a454	325d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$297.0k 3.0× usual	99%	0xe639…082a	326d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$163.0k 3.3× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	325d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$153.2k 3.1× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	325d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$119.8k 2.9× usual	100%	Pestle	326d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$99.8k 2.4× usual	1%	Pestle	326d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$99.4k 3.5× usual	99%	TwoEyes	325d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$99.1k 2.4× usual	99%	Pestle	326d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$86.3k 2.1× usual	100%	Pestle	325d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 92¢	$82.8k 3.3× usual	8%	0x3560…1b93	325d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$53.7k	1%	0xdd57…694d	325d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$49.6k	99%	uncleroger	326d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 92¢	$46.0k	92%	tgrdy	325d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY No @ 92.6¢	$45.4k 2.8× usual	93%	MisTKy3	325d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$830.7k

MED 0x6403…a454 · 326d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$715.7k

MED 0x6403…a454 · 325d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$297.0k

LOW 0xe639…082a · 326d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$163.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 325d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$153.2k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 325d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$119.8k

LOW Pestle · 326d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$99.8k

LOW Pestle · 326d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$99.4k

LOW TwoEyes · 325d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$99.1k

LOW Pestle · 326d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$86.3k

LOW Pestle · 325d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 92¢$82.8k

MED 0x3560…1b93 · 325d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$53.7k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 325d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$49.6k

LOW uncleroger · 326d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 92¢$46.0k

LOW tgrdy · 325d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 92.6¢$45.4k

MED MisTKy3 · 325d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$2.70M · 17 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$284.0k · 8 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$221.1k · 3 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$163.4k · 11 flags

Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$98.1k · 3 flags

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$73.6k · 2 flags