Thursday, November 27, 2025

118 whale trades totalling $8.32M from 61 wallets. Biggest: $1.34M buy No on “Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?” at 99.8¢. 5 of 10 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 6.6 expected (-15.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.34M 8.1× usual	100%	0x70bb…b180	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$1.22M 55.7× usual	100%	locuspm	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$592.7k 14.3× usual	0%	Pestle	331d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$536.9k 10.3× usual	99%	0x5bff…ffbe	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$352.6k 9.1× usual	100%	scout	331d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED SELL No @ 99.6¢	$247.0k 5.9× usual	0%	Pestle	331d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$197.5k 4.8× usual	0%	Pestle	330d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY No @ 91.9¢	$188.8k 5.7× usual	92%	Alexparker	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$169.8k 8.1× usual	100%	hollyber	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$159.2k 3.1× usual	0%	JAHODA	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$156.0k 3.8× usual	100%	Pestle	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$134.2k 3.2× usual	0%	Pestle	331d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$132.4k 4.6× usual	0%	debased	330d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$111.0k 2.7× usual	100%	Pestle	331d ago	excluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$99.8k	100%	100x	330d ago	excluded

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.34M

LOW 0x70bb…b180 · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.22M

MED locuspm · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$592.7k

MED Pestle · 331d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$536.9k

LOW 0x5bff…ffbe · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$352.6k

LOW scout · 331d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$247.0k

MED Pestle · 331d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$197.5k

MED Pestle · 330d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 91.9¢$188.8k

MED Alexparker · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$169.8k

LOW hollyber · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$159.2k

MED JAHODA · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$156.0k

LOW Pestle · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$134.2k

MED Pestle · 331d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$132.4k

LOW debased · 330d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$111.0k

LOW Pestle · 331d ago

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$99.8k

LOW 100x · 330d ago

Most traded markets

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

$5.93M · 42 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$1.25M · 34 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$504.4k · 11 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$252.5k · 17 flags

Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?

$146.8k · 2 flags

Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?

$89.1k · 2 flags