Sunday, November 9, 2025

16 whale trades totalling $3.27M from 10 wallets. Biggest: $823.0k sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.5¢	$823.0k 8.4× usual	1%	0xe639…082a	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$817.2k 8.4× usual	99%	0xe639…082a	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 98.9¢	$616.5k 14.8× usual	99%	Pestle	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 98.9¢	$447.2k 20.4× usual	99%	locuspm	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.2¢	$346.2k 15.8× usual	99%	locuspm	349d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢	$51.9k	2%	0x81d2…c5e8	349d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢	$20.0k	98%	0x6302…7917	349d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢	$19.0k	98%	0xeac3…8a6c	349d ago	excluded
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$19.0k	100%	0xeac3…8a6c	349d ago	excluded
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$19.0k	1%	0xeac3…8a6c	349d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢	$19.0k	3%	0xeac3…8a6c	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$18.2k	1%	XAE12Archangel	349d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$18.1k	99%	XAE12Archangel	349d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢	$13.6k	3%	risk-manager	349d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢	$12.2k	2%	0x57c7…a2fe	349d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$823.0k

MED 0xe639…082a · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$817.2k

LOW 0xe639…082a · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$616.5k

MED Pestle · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$447.2k

MED locuspm · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$346.2k

MED locuspm · 349d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 97.5¢$51.9k

LOW 0x81d2…c5e8 · 349d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 97.6¢$20.0k

LOW 0x6302…7917 · 349d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 97.6¢$19.0k

LOW 0xeac3…8a6c · 349d ago

Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$19.0k

LOW 0xeac3…8a6c · 349d ago

Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$19.0k

LOW 0xeac3…8a6c · 349d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 97.5¢$19.0k

LOW 0xeac3…8a6c · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$18.2k

LOW XAE12Archangel · 349d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$18.1k

LOW XAE12Archangel · 349d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 97.5¢$13.6k

LOW risk-manager · 349d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 97.6¢$12.2k

LOW 0x57c7…a2fe · 349d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$3.09M · 7 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$107.7k · 5 flags

Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?

$38.0k · 2 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$38.0k · 2 flags