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What this means. A wallet put $817.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$817.2k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 827,150 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)8.4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xe639…082a took No (buy) for $817.2k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $817.2k+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $817.2k
- Placed
- Nov 09, 02:07 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe639…082a
- Tx
- 0xa8fff126…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.42M 27.5× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $368.9k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $93.1k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $531.0k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |