← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $35.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.4k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 35,448 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet madril took No (sell) for $35.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $35.4k
- Placed
- Dec 07, 14:09 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- madril
- Tx
- 0x1280ee1a…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.42M 27.5× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $368.9k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $93.1k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $531.0k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $76.8k | excluded |