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Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Alert me on this market
Yes
90¢
No
10¢
Volume
$741.5k

No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 90¢no rated wallets
  1. russell110320$73.7k
  2. flawfence$38.1k
  3. SS123$22.6k
  4. balerinacapuchina$20.7k
  5. gopfan2$14.2k
  6. Railcool$13.0k
  7. 0x34db…1b63$4,307
  8. 0x3e4a…dced$3,805
  9. D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935$1,880
  10. aviato$1,812
  11. MrVatana$1,790
  12. GollumGekko$1,754
No 10¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$17.2k
  2. Orion96$1,466
  3. inventive$991
  4. anoin123$756
  5. semantics$675
  6. WindTakeMeNorth$616
  7. IP1380$546
  8. Drunken-Mentat$487
  9. Ondra$334
  10. 0xc7d0…1f8a$258
  11. Gaditima$211
  12. maritime6307$197

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.