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Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
1
Net whale flow → Yes
+$25.4k
Yes 7d ago → now
79¢→86¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
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Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans Yes at 86¢
Among the biggest holders: 2 proven wallets hold $9,097 of Yes; proven money on the other side $0, losing-record money there $0. Net +$9,097.
Based on 2 rated wallets among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 86¢2 proven · $9,097
  1. The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA$28.0k
  2. SAPolitcsSeer$6,912
  3. scottilicious PROVEN +1.5 pts$6,187
  4. fourtimes$3,456
  5. Rr55$3,162
  6. ScottyNooo PROVEN +15.0 pts$2,909
  7. lug$2,592
  8. Gaditima$2,551
  9. takeabreath$2,187
  10. Anonn88$2,077
  11. marksman$2,055
  12. 0x91c3…409f$2,000
No 14¢no rated wallets
  1. lomneivan$6,312
  2. 0xa5ef…2966$5,142
  3. anoin123$1,090
  4. 0x6b25…7a69$423
  5. ImJustKen$201
  6. data-sync$193
  7. algo168$102
  8. HerrieDavis$91
  9. GUINESS123$84
  10. DuneMentat$68
  11. bernardbulletin$67
  12. 0x8f69…2923$62

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Yes$25.4k
1 flag
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $25.4k79% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM3d agopending

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $25.4k from 1 wallet. The largest was $25.4k (buy Yes at 79¢). Most whale money ($25.4k) went to Yes. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, The Spirit of Ukraine>UM ($25.4k), has called 12 of 14 graded flags overall (+2.3 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-jonathan-kreiss-tomkins-win-the-2026-alaska-governor-election).