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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?called
$10.7k
BUY Yes @ 97¢ · 11,065 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 took Yes (buy) for $10.7k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$10.7k
Placed
Jun 15, 04:42 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 20:38 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965
Tx
0xfa4badaf…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
Yes price · entry 97¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $10.7k WHALE $10.7K @ 97¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% debased129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% rwo129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.9k0% noreasapa129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.2k100% ULYSSES18129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.1k100% germantony123129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% QuadrupleDouble129d agoexcluded