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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?excluded
$19.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 19,915 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet noreasapa took Yes (sell) for $19.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$19.9k
Placed
Jun 17, 06:14 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 20:38 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
noreasapa
Tx
0x910d7aa0…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $19.9k WHALE $19.9K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% debased129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% rwo129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.2k100% ULYSSES18129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.1k100% germantony123129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% QuadrupleDouble129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.8k100% w271129d agoexcluded