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What this means. A wallet put $25.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?excluded
$25.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 25,147 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet debased took Yes (sell) for $25.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$25.1k
Placed
Jun 17, 11:37 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 20:38 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
debased
Tx
0xaaea352e…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $25.1k WHALE $25.1K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% rwo128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.9k0% noreasapa129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.2k100% ULYSSES18129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.1k100% germantony123129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% QuadrupleDouble129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.8k100% w271129d agoexcluded