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What this means. A wallet put $22.2k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5excluded
$22.2k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 43,543 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Over (buy) for $22.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$22.2k
Placed
Oct 22, 20:17 EDT
Market close
Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2c33…0563
Tx
0xf9cd50db…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +49 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $22.2k WHALE $22.2K @ 51¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5MED BUY Over @ 50¢ $108.3k
4.5× usual
50% 0xb4f9…c9a71d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $25.0k52% sinasinner1d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $19.5k52% DaBossHogg1d agocalled
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ $20.0k49% BrotherObama PROVEN1d agomissed
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ $15.3k51% chubbytoro2d agocalled