← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet chubbytoro took Over (buy) for $15.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 17:12 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chubbytoro
- Tx
- 0x02d55264…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+20.8 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsOver price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | MED BUY Over @ 50¢ | $108.3k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $19.5k | called |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ | $20.0k | missed |