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What this means. A wallet put $14.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.1k
BUY Yes @ 97.7¢ · 14,392 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Anjun took Yes (buy) for $14.1k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.1k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4248American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.7¢
- Implied odds
- 97.7%
- Size
- $14.1k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 16:55 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Anjun
- Tx
- 0xf97ed8bc…
This wallet's graded record
7/11-1.1 pts
expected 7.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsYes price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |