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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 72,747 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet test124566 took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−220American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.7%
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 13:19 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- test124566
- Tx
- 0xf9623bcf…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+3.7 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 19¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $88.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $31.8k | excluded |