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What this means. A wallet put $48.7k on Cabo Verde, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.7k
BUY Cabo Verde @ 7¢ · 695,103 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x38fb…d07c took Cabo Verde (buy) for $48.7k at an average 7¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cabo Verde wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 7¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- As American odds
- +1329 no vig
- Size
- $48.7k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 12:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x38fb…d07c
- Tx
- 0xf7df06c5…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsCabo Verde price · entry 7¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 96.2¢ | $45.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |