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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$216.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$48.7k
Last 30 days −$9,572 · $3.16M volume · 642 trades · since Jun 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.8k
Open P&L · 137 positions
−$106.0k
Closed-position win rate
46%
127 closed
Wallet age · markets
123d
257 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 26¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Egypt @ 37¢ | $54.4k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED BUY Egypt @ 33¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Cabo Verde @ 30¢ | $52.5k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED BUY Cabo Verde @ 7¢ | $48.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x38fb60…