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What this means. A wallet put $48.0k on Egypt, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
$48.0k
BUY Egypt @ 33¢ · 147,031 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x38fb…d07c took Egypt (buy) for $48.0k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $48.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+206American odds
$1.00paid per share if Egypt wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
33¢
Implied odds
32.7%
As American odds
+206 no vig
Size
$48.0k
Placed
Jul 07, 12:27 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x38fb…d07c
Tx
0xd6eefb85…

Entry to resolution

Grade -33 pts
Egypt price · entry 33¢ · resolved Argentina
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 33¢ · $48.0k WHALE $48.0K @ 33¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $147.0k0% dumb6money109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0x631a…b631109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $121.5k0% jk120 NEW109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $104.0k
6.5× usual
0% stockpicks109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% Ma999109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ $39.4k
2.0× usual
66% suntori LOSING109d agoexcluded