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What this means. A wallet put $104.0k on not Argentina, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$104.0k
SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ · 104,057 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)6.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet stockpicks took Argentina (sell) for $104.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $104.0k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $104.0k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 14:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- stockpicks
- Tx
- 0xddd9f5f3…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-2.0 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $147.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $121.5k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ | $39.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $113.6k | excluded |