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What this means. A wallet put $23.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +13.4 pts vs the price over 36 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.3k
BUY Yes @ 10¢ · 233,425 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideProven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet Erasmus. took Yes (buy) for $23.3k at an average 10¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $23.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 10¢ means
10%chance the market gave
+900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 10¢
- Implied odds
- 10.0%
- Size
- $23.3k
- Placed
- Sep 15, 16:11 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Erasmus.
- Tx
- 0xf7671bca…
This wallet's graded record
29/36+13.4 pts
expected 24.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -10 ptsYes price · entry 10¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |