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What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?excluded
$18.7k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 20,091 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Mind.The.Gap took No (buy) for $18.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1319American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
As American odds
−1319 no vig
Size
$18.7k
Placed
Jun 26, 15:22 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Mind.The.Gap
Tx
0xf65bd2a3…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+18.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +7 pts
No price · entry 93¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 93¢ · $18.7k WHALE $18.7K @ 93¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $10.8k84% 0x2c33…0563119d agoexcluded
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?MED BUY No @ 81¢ $57.4k
2.8× usual
81% GoalLineGhost119d agocalled
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $32.0k82% 0x32b4…8b21119d agocalled
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $29.2k80% gmpm2119d agocalled
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $18.4k80% purplegatto PROVEN119d agocalled
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $10.6k80% ic4cream119d agocalled