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What this means. A wallet put $57.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.4k
BUY No @ 81¢ · 71,104 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10k5 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet GoalLineGhost took No (buy) for $57.4k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $57.4k+1
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−421American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 80.8%
- As American odds
- −421 no vig
- Size
- $57.4k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 12:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoalLineGhost
- Tx
- 0x7c83afdc…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-22.8 pts
expected 13.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +19 ptsNo price · entry 81¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $32.0k | called |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $29.2k | called |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $18.4k | called |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.6k | called |