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Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $80.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded$80.3k
SELL Yes @ 39¢ · 205,796 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x594d…059d took Yes (sell) for $80.3k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $80.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 61.0%
- As American odds
- −156 no vig
- Size
- $80.3k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 17:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 16:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x594d…059d
- Tx
- 0xee9ab18f…
This wallet's graded record
8/8+44.6 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsYes price · entry 39¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.4k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.1k | excluded |