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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded
$50.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet nelius took No (buy) for $50.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $50.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$50.0k
Placed
Jun 29, 18:56 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 16:30 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
nelius
Tx
0xf77ab4f1…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% wigglew117d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.9k100% BrightStars117d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $28.4k100% sleepy-panda LOSING117d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% zxc368117d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $28.1k100% TBill1117d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $62.1k0% LuckyWin117d agoexcluded