zxc368

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$59.0kNo · avg 50¢ → 80¢ · $159.0k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$59.0kYes · avg 50¢ → 20¢ · $41.0k Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?−$61Yes · avg 13¢ → 4.9¢ · $37

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$149.4k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$316.2k

Last 30 days +$20.0k · $127.22M volume · 233,744 trades · since Nov 06, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$240.1k

Open P&L · 6 positions

−$876

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

352d

56539 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL Anyones Legend @ 99.9¢	$53.5k 3.8× usual	0%	69d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$15.0k	0%	116d ago	excluded
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	LOW BUY Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢	$43.0k 3.1× usual	100%	161d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢	$12.7k	99%	237d ago	excluded
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	LOW SELL Yes @ 93.4¢	$12.1k	7%	240d ago	excluded
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$13.0k	100%	240d ago	excluded

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

SELL Anyones Legend @ 99.9¢$53.5k

LOW zxc368 · 69d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$15.0k

LOW zxc368 · 116d ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderiexcluded

BUY Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢$43.0k

LOW zxc368 · 161d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99¢$12.7k

LOW zxc368 · 237d ago

Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?excluded

SELL Yes @ 93.4¢$12.1k

LOW zxc368 · 240d ago

Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$13.0k

LOW zxc368 · 240d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa16a13…