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Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $28.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded$28.4k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 28,460 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took No (buy) for $28.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $28.4k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 18:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 16:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0x2e5f7d2f…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $62.1k | excluded |