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What this means. A wallet put $36.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.1k
BUY No @ 98.3¢ · 36,683 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $36.1k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $36.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5782American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.3%
- Size
- $36.1k
- Placed
- Jul 31, 10:13 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0xee7098fb…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $51.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $66.1k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $31.1k | excluded |