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What this means. A wallet put $28.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.3k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 31,795 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $28.3k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.3k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- Size
- $28.3k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 06:35 EST
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0xe7236b20…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $58.5k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $66.5k | excluded |