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What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on Over, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.7k
BUY Over @ 47¢ · 48,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet CandleHammerDrums took Over (buy) for $22.7k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $22.7k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 13:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CandleHammerDrums
- Tx
- 0xe4b8024a…
This wallet's graded record
11/18+14.3 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsOver price · entry 47¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | MED SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $120.4k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ | $57.6k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 47¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 46¢ | $12.6k | called |