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lxj02

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +3.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$26.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.85M volume · 2,085 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$334.8k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$345.8k
Closed-position win rate
82%
33 closed
Wallet age · markets
127d
57 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports210.9+3.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-07-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ $13.7k38% 101d agomissed
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5LOW SELL Over @ 46¢ $12.6k54% 118d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x83b445…