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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
SELL Over @ 46¢ · 27,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet lxj02 took Over (sell) for $12.6k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 15:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lxj02
- Tx
- 0x53a103e3…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+3.7 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsOver price · entry 46¢ · resolved Under · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | MED SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $120.4k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ | $57.6k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 47¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Under @ 53¢ | $113.9k | called |