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What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on Over, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5excluded
$19.5k
BUY Over @ 48¢ · 40,727 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet CandleHammerDrums took Over (buy) for $19.5k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$19.5k
Placed
Jun 27, 16:51 EDT
Market close
Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
CandleHammerDrums
Tx
0x9f802f28…
This wallet's graded record
11/18+14.3 pts
expected 8.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Over price · entry 48¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $19.5k WHALE $19.5K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5MED SELL Under @ 99.9¢ $120.4k0% skk1ch118d agoexcluded
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ $19.4k53% rabbitfoot1118d agoexcluded
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $57.6k52% skk1ch118d agoexcluded
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 47¢ $28.2k47% huli3882118d agoexcluded
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5LOW SELL Over @ 46¢ $12.6k54% lxj02118d agocalled
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5MED BUY Under @ 53¢ $113.9k53% ramadamaramadam118d agocalled