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What this means. A wallet put $24.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
$24.6k
BUY No @ 97.1¢ · 25,382 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther

What happened

Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $24.6k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3348American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.1¢
Implied odds
97.1%
Size
$24.6k
Placed
Mar 18, 05:11 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x8b4b…541b
Tx
0xe46d8ce6…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
0% westminster202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% manekineko203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% ThanksGivingTurkey1001203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
4.4× usual
0% tetrase203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% TheMayor203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% uycghj4203d agoexcluded