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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet onlyyesbuyer took No (sell) for $12.2k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.0%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Apr 28, 09:32 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- onlyyesbuyer
- Tx
- 0xe33ea33e…
This wallet's graded record
1/3+1.6 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.9k | excluded |