← Wallets
+$294No · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $794−$294Yes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $206
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +1.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+1.6 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$72.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,369
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.06M volume · 1,930 trades · since Mar 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,497
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$128
Closed-position win rate
60%
304 closed
Wallet age · markets
212d
291 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.8 | +11.9 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -19.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | LOW SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | LOW SELL B8 @ 99.9¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $12.2k | missed |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW SELL No @ 96.8¢ | $14.5k | missed |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢ | $10.8k | called |
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