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What this means. A wallet put $29.7k on Lions, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.9 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Panthersexcluded
$29.7k
BUY Lions @ 43¢ · 69,124 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Lions (buy) for $29.7k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Panthers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $29.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lions wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$29.7k
Placed
Oct 04, 21:19 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 20:20 EDT
Result
Panthers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xe333fa62…
This wallet's graded record
15/32-13.9 pts
expected 19.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Lions price · entry 43¢ · resolved Panthers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $29.7k WHALE $29.7K @ 43¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% BABELCONSTEL19d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% Donghui19d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99¢ $11.0k1% popay14120d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersMED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ $76.9k
3.6× usual
79% mooseborzoii20d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersMED BUY Panthers @ 81¢ $102.4k
2.5× usual
81% 0x2c33…056320d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW BUY Lions @ 19¢ $17.1k19% 0xbc43…96d320d agoexcluded