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Senators vs. Hurricanesmissed
What this means. A wallet put $70.8k on Senators, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.8k
BUY Senators @ 43¢ · 164,643 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet timezonewarrior took Senators (buy) for $70.8k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Hurricanes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $70.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Senators wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $70.8k
- Placed
- Apr 20, 13:34 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 20, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Hurricanes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- timezonewarrior
- Tx
- 0xe3276d8b…
This wallet's graded record
1/6-33.2 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsSenators price · entry 43¢ · resolved Hurricanes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Hurricanes @ 99¢ | $10.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 75¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 59¢ | $21.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 58¢ | $39.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Senators @ 42¢ | $79.7k | missed | |
| MED BUY Hurricanes @ 58¢ | $138.6k | called |