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What this means. A wallet put $70.8k on Senators, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Senators vs. Hurricanesmissed
$70.8k
BUY Senators @ 43¢ · 164,643 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet timezonewarrior took Senators (buy) for $70.8k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Hurricanes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $70.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Senators wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$70.8k
Placed
Apr 20, 13:34 EDT
Market close
Apr 20, 19:30 EDT
Result
Hurricanes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
timezonewarrior
Tx
0xe3276d8b…
This wallet's graded record
1/6-33.2 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Senators price · entry 43¢ · resolved Hurricanes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $70.8k WHALE $70.8K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Senators vs. HurricanesLOW SELL Hurricanes @ 99¢ $10.9k1% 0xbba9…f183187d agoexcluded
Senators vs. HurricanesLOW BUY Hurricanes @ 75¢ $14.8k75% ChompChomp888187d agoexcluded
Senators vs. HurricanesLOW BUY Hurricanes @ 59¢ $21.5k59% 0x8a6c…0b3f187d agoexcluded
Senators vs. HurricanesLOW BUY Hurricanes @ 58¢ $39.9k58% BWArmageddon187d agoexcluded
Senators vs. HurricanesLOW BUY Senators @ 42¢ $79.7k42% texaskid187d agomissed
Senators vs. HurricanesMED BUY Hurricanes @ 58¢ $138.6k58% ChloeT1187d agocalled