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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
$13.2k
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ · 13,279 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet MaiP120 took Yes (sell) for $13.2k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$13.2k
Placed
Mar 01, 02:10 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 19:58 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
MaiP120
Tx
0xe2700f21…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $13.2k WHALE $13.2K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% bosshog234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $161.5k
8.1× usual
0% Thomas58234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% randomlypunting234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 100x234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $89.9k0% alliswell234d agoexcluded