← Wallets
−$61Yes · avg 11¢ → 8.5¢ · $245+$59Yes · avg 5.2¢ → 13¢ · $100+$28Yes · avg 1.5¢ → 2.1¢ · $94−$53Yes · avg 8.9¢ → 5.5¢ · $85 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$25Yes · avg 6.1¢ → 4.6¢ · $77+$12Yes · avg 2.2¢ → 3¢ · $42+$17Yes · avg 3.6¢ → 9.6¢ · $27
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$13.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,538
Last 30 days −$41 · $2.21M volume · 3,365 trades · since Jan 26, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,467
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$1,330
Closed-position win rate
38%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
271d
79 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
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