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What this means. A wallet put $112.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$112.9k
SELL No @ 98.5¢ · 114,593 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took No (sell) for $112.9k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $112.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- As American odds
- +6624 no vig
- Size
- $112.9k
- Placed
- Apr 28, 10:29 EDT
- Market close
- May 18, 01:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0xdfb3f929…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $172.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $27.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.4¢ | $44.7k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ | $21.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.3¢ | $15.4k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 6¢ | $53.7k | missed |