← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $44.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$44.7k
BUY No @ 95.4¢ · 46,891 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took No (buy) for $44.7k at an average 95.4¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $44.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2074American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.4¢
- Implied odds
- 95.4%
- As American odds
- −2074 no vig
- Size
- $44.7k
- Placed
- May 11, 18:36 EDT
- Market close
- May 18, 01:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0xb6fa5a39…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $172.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $27.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ | $21.4k | called |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 94.3¢ | $15.4k | called |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | MED BUY Yes @ 6¢ | $53.7k | missed |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $68.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |