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What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.1k
SELL No @ 75¢ · 21,461 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet WordleAddict took No (sell) for $16.1k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 25.1%
- Size
- $16.1k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 14:03 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- WordleAddict
- Tx
- 0xdf3c06d6…
This wallet's graded record
6/10-1.5 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -25 ptsNo price · entry 75¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |