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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.1k
BUY No @ 96¢ · 12,632 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet afdafdafdafdafd took No (buy) for $12.1k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Feb 26, 03:01 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- afdafdafdafdafd
- Tx
- 0xdf072dd3…
This wallet's graded record
8/9-3.1 pts
expected 8.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -96 ptsNo price · entry 96¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90.4¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |