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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded
$10.6k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 20,292 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ipop00 took Yes (buy) for $10.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
52¢
Implied odds
52.0%
As American odds
−108 no vig
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Jun 27, 18:50 EDT
Market close
Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ipop00
Tx
0xdd07690d…
This wallet's graded record
6/9-1.0 pts
expected 6.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -52 pts
Yes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 52¢ · $10.6k WHALE $10.6K @ 52¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.2k0% mhhsw966118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% igetlitty118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ $14.2k71% ErmenegildoZegna118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ $16.2k71% esportsbetter1118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW BUY No @ 69¢ $27.5k69% vkvkgjerkgk118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $90.0k
2.4× usual
45% ygggg1118d agoexcluded