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What this means. A wallet put $234.5k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$234.5k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 457,826 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Over (buy) for $234.5k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $234.5k+2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.2%
- As American odds
- −105 no vig
- Size
- $234.5k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 18:28 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x4924…3782
- Tx
- 0xdc2a1f73…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsOver price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 48¢ | $79.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $40.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $30.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ | $13.6k | excluded |