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What this means. A wallet put $234.5k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5excluded
$234.5k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 457,826 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Over (buy) for $234.5k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $234.5k+2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.2%
As American odds
−105 no vig
Size
$234.5k
Placed
Apr 07, 18:28 EDT
Market close
Apr 07, 19:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x4924…3782
Tx
0xdc2a1f73…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $234.5k WHALE $234.5K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ $54.9k
2.3× usual
0% SemyonMarmeladov199d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ $10.1k47% ethanaz199d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5MED BUY Under @ 48¢ $79.8k
2.7× usual
48% CemeterySun199d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $40.7k52% texaskid199d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $30.3k52% 0x0c15…9a45199d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ $13.6k49% gatorr199d agoexcluded